Conference League | League Stage

Dec 18, 2025 at 8pm UK

Shamrock Shamrock Rovers
3-1
Hamrun Spartans

Burke (14' pen.), Grant (45+4'), McGovern (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Philippe Koffi (20')
Mbong (26')

Coverage of the Conference League League Stage clash between Shamrock Rovers and Hamrun Spartans.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shamrock Rovers

Last Game: Shamrock 3-1 Hamrun Spartans
Thursday, December 18 at 8pm in Conference League

Hamrun Spartans

Last Game: Shamrock 3-1 Hamrun Spartans
Thursday, December 18 at 8pm in Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 56.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.71% and a win for Hamrun Spartans had a probability of 21.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%) , while for a Hamrun Spartans win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Shamrock Rovers	Draw	Hamrun Spartans
56.06% ( 0.05)	22.71% ( -0.01)	21.23% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 54.55% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.11% (

-0.03)

44.89% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.76% (

-0.03)

67.24% (

0.03)

Shamrock Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.17% (

15.83% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.99% (

0.01)

45.01% (

-0.02)

Hamrun Spartans Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.81% (

-0.07)

35.19% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.06% (

-0.07)

71.94% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Shamrock Rovers 56.06%

Hamrun Spartans 21.23%

Draw 22.7%

Shamrock Rovers	Draw	Hamrun Spartans
1-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.07% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.8% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 56.06%	1-1 @ 10.72% 0-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.7%	0-1 @ 5.82% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 21.23%