Champions League Gameweek 7
Jan 21, 2026 8.00pm
St. James' Park

Newcastle United vs PSV Eindhoven - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Dec 10, 2025 8.00pm
B. Leverkusen 2 - 2 Newcastle

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Dec 9, 2025 8.00pm
PSV 2 - 3 Atletico

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle United win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for PSV Eindhoven has a probability of 39.67% and a draw has a probability of 20.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (5.9%) and 2-0 (5.28%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win is 1-2 (8.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.58%).

Result

Newcastle United 40.27% (-2.96)
Draw 20.06% (-0.43)
PSV Eindhoven 39.67% (+3.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.89% (+1.69)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.75% (+0.65)
Under 1.5 14.25% (-0.65)
Over 2.5 67.58% (+1.21)
Under 2.5 32.42% (-1.22)
Over 3.5 44.6% (+2.29)
Under 3.5 55.4% (-2.29)
Over 4.5 28.95% (+1.56)
Under 4.5 71.05% (-1.55)

First Half Winner

Newcastle United 29.44% (-0.10)
Draw 36.84% (+0.83)
PSV Eindhoven 33.72% (-0.72)

Team To Score First

Newcastle United 46.33% (-0.79)
No Goal 3.04% (-0.32)
PSV Eindhoven 50.63% (+1.11)

Corners

Over 8 71.83% (+1.18)
Equal 8 8.46% (-0.46)
Under 8 19.71% (-0.72)
Over 9 62.21% (+1.61)
Equal 9 9.62% (-0.44)
Under 9 28.17% (-1.17)
Over 10.5 52.07% (+1.93)
Under 10.5 47.93% (-1.93)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 1.5 46.57% (-1.93)
Under 1.5 53.43% (+1.93)
Over 2.5 23.17% (-1.54)
Under 2.5 76.83% (+1.54)
Over 3.5 8.91% (-0.61)
Under 3.5 91.09% (+0.61)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5 73.93% (+2.73)
Under 0.5 26.07% (-2.72)
Over 1.5 46.68% (+3.26)
Under 1.5 53.32% (-3.26)
Over 2.5 23.65% (+2.68)
Under 2.5 76.35% (-2.69)
Over 3.5 10.68% (+1.68)
Under 3.5 89.32% (-1.69)

Score analysis

Newcastle United 40.28%
Draw 20.06%
PSV Eindhoven 39.67%
Newcastle United
2-1 @ 8.29% (-0.39)
1-0 @ 5.9% (-0.60)
2-0 @ 5.28% (-0.64)
3-1 @ 5.06% (-0.32)
3-2 @ 3.89% (+0.13)
3-0 @ 3.27% (-0.63)
Other @ 8.59% (-0.50)
Total : 40.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.58% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 6.08% (+0.29)
0-0 @ 3.04% (-0.32)
3-3 @ 2.04% (-0.11)
Other @ 0.32% (-0.11)
Total : 20.06%
PSV Eindhoven
1-2 @ 8.77% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 5.32% (+0.32)
1-3 @ 4.52% (+0.78)
0-2 @ 4.29% (+0.21)
2-3 @ 3.75% (+0.36)
0-3 @ 2.66% (-0.03)
Other @ 10.36% (+1.79)
Total : 39.67%