Eredivisie Gameweek 18
Jan 10, 2026 7.00pm
5
1
HT : 4 1
FT Philips Stadion
  • Paul Wanner 8' goal
  • Ricardo Pepi 23' goal
  • Couhaib Driouech 26' yellowcard
  • Yarek Gasiorowski 33' goal
  • Ryan Flamingo 39' goal
  • Dennis Man 69' goal
  • Esmir Bajraktarevic 75' yellowcard
  • Noah Fernandez 75' yellowcard
  • 75' yellowcard
  • Kiliann Sildillia 76' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Verkooijen 82' yellowcard
  • goal Ilias Bronkhorst 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Lewis Schouten 46'
  • yellowcard Emil Hansson 61'
  • yellowcard Arthur Zagre 62'
  • yellowcard Mike van Duinen 76'
  • yellowcard 76'

PSV Eindhoven vs SBV Excelsior - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Last game
Dec 21, 2025 11.15am
Utrecht 1 - 2 PSV
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Ricardo Pepi

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 5.45pm
Excelsior 2 - 1 PEC Zwolle
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Noah Naujoks

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 71.5%. A draw had a probability of 15.54% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 12.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 3-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.25%) , while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (3.25%).

Result

PSV Eindhoven 71.5%
Draw 15.54%
SBV Excelsior 12.96%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.76%

Goals

Over 1.5 86.93%
Under 1.5 13.07%
Over 2.5 70.99%
Under 2.5 29.01%
Over 3.5 52.21%
Under 3.5 47.79%
Over 4.5 38.65%
Under 4.5 61.35%

First Half Winner

PSV Eindhoven 61.48%
Draw 24.28%
SBV Excelsior 14.24%

Team To Score First

PSV Eindhoven 73.19%
No Goal 2.92%
SBV Excelsior 23.89%

Corners

Over 8 70.21%
Equal 8 9.1%
Under 8 20.68%
Over 9 60%
Equal 9 10.22%
Under 9 29.79%
Over 10.5 49.41%
Under 10.5 50.59%

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 1.5 72.59%
Under 1.5 27.41%
Over 2.5 49.2%
Under 2.5 50.8%
Over 3.5 28.91%
Under 3.5 71.09%

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5 46.24%
Under 0.5 53.76%
Over 1.5 20.68%
Under 1.5 79.32%
Over 2.5 7.12%
Under 2.5 92.88%
Over 3.5 2.14%
Under 3.5 97.86%

Score analysis

PSV Eindhoven 71.48%
Draw 15.53%
SBV Excelsior 12.96%
PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 8.7%
2-0 @ 8.26%
3-1 @ 7.64%
1-0 @ 7.15%
3-0 @ 6.72%
3-2 @ 4.33%
Other @ 28.68%
Total : 71.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.25%
2-2 @ 4.53%
0-0 @ 2.92%
3-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 15.53%
SBV Excelsior
1-2 @ 3.25%
0-1 @ 2.97%
2-3 @ 1.9%
0-2 @ 1.45%
1-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 12.96%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Sep 27, 2025 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
KNVB Beker
Jan 14, 2025 8.00pm
5
4
HT : 1 1
FT Philips Stadion
  • Johan Bakayoko 29' goal
  • Armando Obispo 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Malik Tillman 73' goal
  • Ricardo Pepi 86' goal
  • Ismael Saibari 90'+7' goal
  • Ricardo Pepi 101' goal
  • Ivan Perisic 110' goal
  • goal Noah Naujoks 45'+3'
  • goal Noah Naujoks 58'
  • goal Lance Duijvestijn 80'
  • goal Richie Omorowa 117'
  • yellowcard Arthur Zagre 118'
Eredivisie Gameweek 28
Apr 2, 2024 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
  • Julian Baas 22' yellowcard
  • goal Mauro Junior 58'
  • goal Johan Bakayoko 62'
Eredivisie Gameweek 17
Jan 13, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Philips Stadion
  • Luuk de Jong 13' goal
  • Luuk de Jong 17' goal
  • Luuk de Jong 69' goal
  • goal Derensili Sanches Fernandes 82'
Eredivisie Gameweek 28
Apr 8, 2023 7.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Luuk de Jong 12' goal
  • Xavi Simons 78' goal
  • Fabio Silva 82' goal
  • Erick Gutierrez 87' goal
Eredivisie Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2022 1.30pm
1
6
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Siebe Horemans 74' goal
  • goal Joey Veerman 2'
  • goal Ibrahim Sangare 29'
  • goal Ibrahim Sangare 45'
  • goal Xavi Simons 55'
  • goal Cody Gakpo 59'
  • yellowcard Guus Til 68'
  • goal Xavi Simons 84'