Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 53.53%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 24.81% and a draw had a probability of 21.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.36%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (6.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.