Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 56.84%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 23.18% and a draw had a probability of 19.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.91%) and 0-1 (6.42%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (5.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.