Fortuna Sittard
Eredivisie
Dec 21, 2025 at 3.45pm UK
 
AZ Alkmaar

SittardFortuna Sittard
4-3
AZAZ Alkmaar

Lonwijk (9'), Sierhuis (42', 54'), Brittijn (86')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Parrott (19'), Mijnans (21'), de Wit (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Fortuna Sittard and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 4-3 AZ
Sunday, December 21 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 4-3 AZ
Sunday, December 21 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 50.69%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 25.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (6.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Fortuna SittardDrawAZ Alkmaar
25.79% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)23.52% (0.047000000000001 0.05)50.69% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.39% (-0.204 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.27% (-0.251 -0.25)43.73% (0.25700000000001 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.88% (-0.247 -0.25)66.12% (0.253 0.25)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.42% (-0.169 -0.17)30.58% (0.175 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.19% (-0.203 -0.2)66.81% (0.209 0.21)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.67% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)17.33% (0.093 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.3% (-0.159 -0.16)47.7% (0.16500000000001 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Fortuna Sittard 25.79%
    AZ Alkmaar 50.69%
    Draw 23.52%
Fortuna SittardDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 6.52% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.28% (0.04 0.04)
2-0 @ 3.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.58% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.47% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 25.79%
1-1 @ 11% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.3% (0.059 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.52%
1-2 @ 9.65% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 9.29% (0.075000000000001 0.08)
0-2 @ 8.14% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.64% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.76% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.34% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.47% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.46% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 50.69%

Head to Head
Feb 23, 2025 3.45pm
gameweek 23
AZ
1-0
Sittard
Buurmeester (52')
Poku (46'), Koopmeiners (63')

Guth (45'), Da Cruz (77'), Bullaude (90')
> Preview
Oct 6, 2024 7pm
gameweek 8
Sittard
1-0
AZ
Guth (78')
Halilovic (20'), Aiko (29'), Erceg (83'), Bullaude (84')

Dekker (45'), van Bommel (75')
> Preview
Feb 17, 2024 5.45pm
gameweek 22
Sittard
1-2
AZ
Cordoba (18')
Lonwijk (41')
Pavlidis (63'), De Wit (90')
Bazoer (69')
> Preview
Oct 1, 2023 3.45pm
gameweek 7
AZ
4-0
Sittard
Clasie (45+1'), Pavlidis (49'), Siovas (82' og.), Dantas (88')
de Wit (28')

Sierhuis (24'), Siovas (35'), Duarte (90+2')
> Preview
Apr 16, 2023 7pm
gameweek 29
Sittard
0-3
AZ
Odgaard (24'), Milos (42'), Pavlidis (84')
> Preview