Eredivisie | Gameweek 17

Dec 21, 2025 at 3.45pm UK

Sittard Fortuna Sittard
vs.
AZ AZ Alkmaar

Coverage of the Eredivisie Europa Playoffs Regular Season clash between Fortuna Sittard and AZ Alkmaar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Sittard 2-3 Almere City
Wednesday, December 17 at 7pm in KNVB Beker

Goals
for

Top scorers

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Drita 0-3 AZ
Thursday, December 11 at 5.45pm in Conference League

Next Game: AZ vs. Jagiellonia
Thursday, December 18 at 8pm in Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 50.78%. A win for Fortuna Sittard has a probability of 25.74% and a draw has a probability of 23.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.24%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win is 2-1 (6.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.96%).

Result
Fortuna Sittard	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
25.74% ( 2.16)	23.47% ( 0.97)	50.78% ( -3.13)

Both teams to score 57.54% (

-0.94)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.48% (

-2.34)

43.51% (

2.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.09% (

-2.34)

65.91% (

2.33)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.5% (

0.49)

30.5% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.28% (

0.58)

66.71% (

-0.58)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.78% (

-1.95)

17.21% (

1.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.5% (

-3.54)

47.49% (

3.54)

Score Analysis

Fortuna Sittard 25.74%

AZ Alkmaar 50.78%

Draw 23.46%

Fortuna Sittard	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.41) 1-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.69) 2-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.46) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.2) Other @ 2.99% Total : 25.74%	1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.55) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.52) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.46%	1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.35) 0-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 5.66% ( -0.47) 0-3 @ 4.77% ( -0.47) 2-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.23) 1-4 @ 2.49% ( -0.39) 0-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.36) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.21) Other @ 3.92% Total : 50.78%