/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fforlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fazlog.png)
-
Justin Lonwijk
9'
-
Kaj Sierhuis
37'
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Philip Brittijn
40'
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Kaj Sierhuis
42'
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Shawn Adewoye
45'+1'
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Kaj Sierhuis
54'
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Philip Brittijn
86'
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Troy Parrott
19'
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Sven Mijnans
21'
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Mees de Wit
71'
Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F50%2Fmaarten-martens.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 50.69%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 25.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (6.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result
Fortuna Sittard
25.79%
▼
(-0.05)
Draw
23.52%
▲
(+0.05)
AZ Alkmaar
50.69%
▲
(+0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
57.39%
▼
(-0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.27%
▼
(-0.26)
Under 2.5
43.73%
▲
(+0.26)
Over 3.5
33.88%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 3.5
66.12%
▲
(+0.26)
Over 4.5
17.44%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 4.5
82.56%
▲
(+0.19)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5
69.42%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 0.5
30.58%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 1.5
33.19%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 1.5
66.81%
▲
(+0.21)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5
82.67%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 0.5
17.33%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 1.5
52.3%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 1.5
47.7%
▲
(+0.17)
Score analysis
Fortuna Sittard
25.79%
Draw
23.52%
AZ Alkmaar
50.69%
Fortuna Sittard
2-1
@
6.52%
▼
(-0.02)
1-0 @ 6.28% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 25.79%
1-0 @ 6.28% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 25.79%
Draw
1-1
@
11%
▲
(+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.3% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.52%
2-2 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.3% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.52%
AZ Alkmaar
1-2
@
9.65%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 9.29% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 8.14% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 50.69%
0-1 @ 9.29% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 8.14% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 50.69%