Premier League
Gameweek
23
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Newcastle United vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle United win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 33.25% and a draw has a probability of 21.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.48%) and 3-1 (5.62%). The likeliest Aston Villa win is 1-2 (7.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.92%).
Result
Newcastle United
44.89%
▼
(-0.12)
Draw
21.87%
▲
(+0.07)
Aston Villa
33.25%
▲
(+0.11)
Both Teams to Score:
67.36%
▲
(+0.13)
Goals
Over 1.5
85.55%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
14.45%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 2.5
67.31%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 2.5
32.69%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 3.5
46.15%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 3.5
53.85%
▼
(-0.29)
Over 4.5
29.52%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 4.5
70.48%
▼
(-0.07)
First Half Winner
Newcastle United
36%
▼
(-0.11)
Draw
37.66%
▼
(-0.07)
Aston Villa
26.33%
▲
(+0.16)
Team To Score First
Newcastle United
52.91%
▼
(-1.40)
No Goal
3.33%
▲
(+0.11)
Aston Villa
43.76%
▲
(+1.29)
Corners
Over 8
65.8%
▲
(+1.15)
Equal 8
10.46%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 8
23.74%
▼
(-1.04)
Over 9
54.44%
▲
(+1.18)
Equal 9
11.36%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 9
34.2%
▼
(-1.15)
Over 10.5
43.13%
▲
(+1.11)
Under 10.5
56.87%
▼
(-1.11)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 1.5
51.8%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
48.2%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 2.5
27.35%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 2.5
72.65%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 3.5
11.63%
Under 3.5
88.37%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5
70.14%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
29.86%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
42.63%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 1.5
57.37%
▼
(-0.24)
Over 2.5
20.14%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 2.5
79.86%
▼
(-0.19)
Over 3.5
7.75%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 3.5
92.25%
▲
(+0.10)
Score analysis
Newcastle United
44.88%
Draw
21.86%
Aston Villa
33.25%
Newcastle United
2-1
@
8.34%
▼
(-0.14)
1-0 @ 6.48% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 4.4% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.3% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 11.18% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 44.88%
1-0 @ 6.48% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 4.4% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.3% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 11.18% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 44.88%
Draw
1-1
@
8.92%
▼
(-0.09)
2-2 @ 6.76%
0-0 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.11)
3-3 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.45% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 21.86%
2-2 @ 6.76%
0-0 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.11)
3-3 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.45% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 21.86%
Aston Villa
1-2
@
7.56%
▲
(+0.02)
0-1 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.21)
2-3 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 7.3% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 33.25%
0-1 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.21)
2-3 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 7.3% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 33.25%
Head to Head
Premier League
Premier League
Gameweek
33
-
Ollie Watkins
1'
-
Ian Maatsen
64'
-
Dan Burn
73'
-
Amadou Onana
75'
-
Jacob Ramsey
88'
-
Fabian Schar
13'
-
Fabian Schar
18'
-
Joelinton
41'
-
Bruno Guimaraes
63'
Premier League
Gameweek
18
-
Anthony Gordon
2'
-
Kieran Trippier
23'
-
Joelinton
45'
-
Alexander Isak
59'
-
Joelinton
90'+1'
-
Matty Cash
14'
-
Jhon Duran
32'
Premier League
Gameweek
22
-
Boubacar Kamara
39'
-
Ollie Watkins
71'
-
Douglas Luiz
72'
-
John McGinn
77'
-
Nicolo Zaniolo
90'+5'
-
Fabian Schar
32'
-
Fabian Schar
36'
-
Alex Moreno
52'
(OG)
-
Anthony Gordon
90'+4'
Premier League
Gameweek
1
-
Sandro Tonali
6'
-
Alexander Isak
16'
-
Anthony Gordon
53'
-
Sven Botman
45'+9'
-
Alexander Isak
58'
-
Bruno Guimaraes
67'
-
Callum Wilson
77'
-
Harvey Barnes
90'+1'
-
Sandro Tonali
90'+2'
-
Douglas Luiz
6'
-
Moussa Diaby
11'
-
Lucas Digne
32'
-
Matty Cash
48'
-
Emiliano Martinez
45'+9'
Club Friendlies 1
-
Elliott Anderson
28'
-
Alexander Isak
45'
-
Callum Wilson
55'
-
Ollie Watkins
7'
-
Emiliano Buendia
11'
-
Emiliano Buendia
48'