Premier League
Newcastle
Jan 25, 2026 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT St. James' Park
Aston Villa
  • Jacob Ramsey 48' yellowcard
  • Nick Woltemade 62' yellowcard
  • Anthony Elanga 63' yellowcard
  • Joe Willock 84' yellowcard
  • goal Emiliano Buendía 19'
  • yellowcard Leon Bailey 59'
  • yellowcard Lamare Bogarde 74'
  • yellowcard Tyrone Mings 75'
  • yellowcard Lucas Digne 75'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 88'
  • yellowcard Victor Lindelöf 89'

Newcastle United vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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Head to head

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 18, 2026 2.00pm
Wolves 0 - 0 Newcastle
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Malick Thiaw

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Jan 18, 2026 4.30pm
Aston Villa 0 - 1 Everton
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle United win with a probability of 47.55%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 31.24% and a draw has a probability of 21.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.75%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Aston Villa win is 1-2 (7.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.79%).

Result

Newcastle United 47.55% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 21.21% ▲ (+0.11)
Aston Villa 31.24% ▼ (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

66.32% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.25% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 14.75% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 66.95% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 33.05% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 3.5 44.89% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 55.11% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 29.02% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 4.5 70.98% ▼ (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Newcastle United 38.18% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 37.28% ▼ (-0.04)
Aston Villa 24.54% ▼ (-0.07)

Team To Score First

Newcastle United 53.84% ▼ (-0.47)
No Goal 3.26% ▼ (-0.04)
Aston Villa 42.9% ▲ (+0.50)

Corners

Over 8 62.38% ▲ (+0.18)
Equal 8 10.8% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 8 26.82% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 9 50.97% ▲ (+0.19)
Equal 9 11.41%
Under 9 37.62% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 10.5 39.92% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 10.5 60.08% ▼ (-0.20)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 1.5 53.47% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 1.5 46.53% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 2.5 28.58% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 2.5 71.42% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 12.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 87.88% ▲ (+0.01)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 68.22% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 31.78% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 40.13% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 59.87% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 18.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 81.64% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6.87% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.13% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Newcastle United 47.55%
Draw 21.21%
Aston Villa 31.24%
Newcastle United
2-1 @ 8.94% ▼ (-0.04)
1-0 @ 6.75% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 11.82% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 47.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.79% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 21.21%
Aston Villa
1-2 @ 7.21% ▼ (-0.05)
0-1 @ 4.74% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 6.57% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 31.24%

Head to Head

Premier League
Aston Villa
Aug 16, 2025 12.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Newcastle
Premier League Gameweek 33
Aston Villa
Apr 19, 2025 5.30pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Villa Park
Newcastle
  • Ollie Watkins 1' goal
  • Ian Maatsen 64' goal
  • Dan Burn 73' goal
  • Amadou Onana 75' goal
  • Jacob Ramsey 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabian Schar 13'
  • goal Fabian Schar 18'
  • yellowcard Joelinton 41'
  • yellowcard Bruno Guimaraes 63'
Premier League Gameweek 18
Newcastle
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT St. James' Park
Aston Villa
  • Anthony Gordon 2' goal
  • Kieran Trippier 23' yellowcard
  • Joelinton 45' yellowcard
  • Alexander Isak 59' goal
  • Joelinton 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Matty Cash 14'
  • redcard Jhon Duran 32'
Premier League Gameweek 22
Aston Villa
Jan 30, 2024 8.15pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Villa Park
Newcastle
  • Boubacar Kamara 39' yellowcard
  • Ollie Watkins 71' goal
  • Douglas Luiz 72' yellowcard
  • John McGinn 77' yellowcard
  • Nicolo Zaniolo 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Fabian Schar 32'
  • goal Fabian Schar 36'
  • goal Alex Moreno 52' (OG)
  • yellowcard Anthony Gordon 90'+4'
Premier League Gameweek 1
Newcastle
Aug 12, 2023 5.30pm
5
1
HT : 2 1
FT St. James' Park
Aston Villa
  • Sandro Tonali 6' goal
  • Alexander Isak 16' goal
  • Anthony Gordon 53' yellowcard
  • Sven Botman 45'+9' yellowcard
  • Alexander Isak 58' goal
  • Bruno Guimaraes 67' yellowcard
  • Callum Wilson 77' goal
  • Harvey Barnes 90'+1' goal
  • Sandro Tonali 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Douglas Luiz 6'
  • goal Moussa Diaby 11'
  • yellowcard Lucas Digne 32'
  • yellowcard Matty Cash 48'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Martinez 45'+9'
Club Friendlies 1
Newcastle
Jul 24, 2023 12.00am
3
3
HT : 2 2
FT Lincoln Financial Field
Aston Villa
  • Elliott Anderson 28' goal
  • Alexander Isak 45' goal
  • Callum Wilson 55' goal
  • goal Ollie Watkins 7'
  • goal Emiliano Buendia 11'
  • goal Emiliano Buendia 48'

Form Data

Newcastle 3 - 0 PSV
Wolves 0 - 0 Newcastle
Newcastle 0 - 2 Man City
Newcastle 0 - 0 Bournemouth
Newcastle 4 - 3 Leeds
Newcastle 2 - 0 Crystal Palace
Fenerbahce 0 - 1 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 0 - 1 Everton
Spurs 1 - 2 Aston Villa
Crystal Palace 0 - 0 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 3 - 1 Nott'm Forest
Arsenal 4 - 1 Aston Villa

Build-up

Predicted Lineups
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