Europa League Gameweek 7
Jan 22, 2026 5.45pm
Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium

Fenerbahce vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fenerbahce

All competitions
Last game
Dec 11, 2025 8.00pm
Brann 0 - 4 Fenerbahce

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Dec 11, 2025 8.00pm
Basel 1 - 2 Aston Villa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 49.05%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 30.51% and a draw has a probability of 20.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Aston Villa win is 1-2 (6.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.63%).

Result

Fenerbahce 49.05% (-0.07)
Draw 20.47% (+0.01)
Aston Villa 30.51% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.78% (-0.32)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.93% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 16.07% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 65.41% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 34.59% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 42.93% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 57.06% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 28.5% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 71.5% (-0.13)

First Half Winner

Fenerbahce 41.48% (+0.09)
Draw 38.95% (-0.12)
Aston Villa 19.56% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Fenerbahce 61.36% (+0.04)
No Goal 3.86% (-0.02)
Aston Villa 34.78% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 52.96% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.88%
Under 8 35.16% (-0.04)
Over 9 41.3% (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.66%
Under 9 47.04% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 30.8% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 69.2% (-0.04)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 1.5 52.39% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 47.61% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 27.61% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 72.39% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 12.09% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 87.91% (+0.01)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 65.4% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 34.6% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 37.94% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 62.06% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 18.38% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 81.62% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 7.92% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 92.08% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Fenerbahce 49.05%
Draw 20.46%
Aston Villa 30.51%
Fenerbahce
2-1 @ 9.24% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 7.78% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.61% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.14% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.66% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.91% (+0.03)
Other @ 11.71% (-0.02)
Total : 49.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.63% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.78% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.86% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.81% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.38% (+0.02)
Total : 20.46%
Aston Villa
1-2 @ 6.58% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.45% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.5%
0-2 @ 3.29% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.15% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2% (-0.01)
Other @ 7.54% (+0.09)
Total : 30.51%