Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 59.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.99% and a win for Everton had a probability of 17.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (10.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%) , while for a Everton win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.