Champions League Gameweek 8
Jan 28, 2026 8.00pm
Parc des Princes

Paris Saint-Germain vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 20, 2026 8.00pm
Sporting Lisbon 2 - 1 PSG

Newcastle United

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 21, 2026 8.00pm
Newcastle 3 - 0 PSV

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 59.08%. A win for Newcastle United has a probability of 20.92% and a draw has a probability of 20.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest Newcastle United win is 1-2 (5.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.39%).

Result

Paris Saint-Germain 59.08% (-0.11)
Draw 20.01%
Newcastle United 20.92% (+0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.49% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.46% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 19.54% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 59.15% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 40.85% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 36.49% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 63.51% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 23.05% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 76.95% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Paris Saint-Germain 47.23% (+0.02)
Draw 34.39% (-0.01)
Newcastle United 18.38% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Paris Saint-Germain 61.3% (+0.02)
No Goal 4.74% (-0.02)
Newcastle United 33.96%

Corners

Over 8 61.7% (-0.37)
Equal 8 10.94% (-0.05)
Under 8 27.36% (+0.42)
Over 9 50.21% (-0.29)
Equal 9 11.49% (-0.09)
Under 9 38.3% (+0.37)
Over 10.5 39.14% (-0.21)
Under 10.5 60.86% (+0.21)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 1.5 57.33% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 42.67% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 31.48% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 68.52% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 13.9% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 86.1% (+0.01)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 56% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 44% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 25.33% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 74.67% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 8.72% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 91.28% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 2.45% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.55% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 59.08%
Draw 20%
Newcastle United 20.92%
Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 9.79%
1-0 @ 9.77% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.12% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 6.52% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 6.46% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.57%
Other @ 13.85% (-0.01)
Total : 59.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.39% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.79% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.74% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 20%
Newcastle United
1-2 @ 5.45% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 5.03%
0-2 @ 2.8% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.18% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.15% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.4% (+0.03)
Total : 20.92%

Head to Head

Champions League
Nov 28, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Parc des Princes
  • Manuel Ugarte 36' yellowcard
  • Lee Kang-in 54' yellowcard
  • Ousmane Dembele 58' yellowcard
  • Milan Skriniar 60' yellowcard
  • Gianluigi Donnarumma 72' yellowcard
  • Goncalo Ramos 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Kylian Mbappe 90'+8' goal
  • yellowcard Joelinton 22'
  • goal Alexander Isak 24'
  • yellowcard Miguel Almiron 83'
  • yellowcard Nick Pope 90'+2'
Champions League
Oct 4, 2023 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Miguel Almiron 17' goal
  • Dan Burn 39' goal
  • Sean Longstaff 50' goal
  • Bruno Guimaraes 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Anthony Gordon 70' yellowcard
  • Nick Pope 87' yellowcard
  • Fabian Schar 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Hernandez 38'
  • yellowcard Achraf Hakimi 43'
  • goal Lucas Hernandez 56'
  • yellowcard Ousmane Dembele 67'
  • yellowcard Warren Zaire-Emery 81'