Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 58.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.86% and a win for Lille had a probability of 20.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%) , while for a Lille win it was 1-2 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.