Ligue 1 Gameweek 18
Jan 16, 2026 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Ousmane Dembele 13' goal
  • Ousmane Dembélé 13' goal
  • Illia Zabarnyi 46' yellowcard
  • Ilya Zabarnyi 46' yellowcard
  • Bradley Barcola 63' yellowcard
  • Ousmane Dembele 64' goal
  • Ousmane Dembélé 64' goal
  • Goncalo Ramos 76' yellowcard
  • Gonçalo Ramos 76' yellowcard
  • Goncalo Ramos 77' yellowcard
  • Lucas Hernandez 84' yellowcard
  • Lucas Hernández 84' yellowcard
  • Bradley Barcola 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Osame Sahraoui 77'
  • yellowcard Soriba Diaoune 77'
  • yellowcard Marius Broholm 77'
  • yellowcard Osame Sahraoui 78'
  • yellowcard Thomas Meunier 87'
  • yellowcard Felix Correia 89'
  • yellowcard Félix Correia 89'

Paris Saint-Germain vs Lille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Last game
Jan 4, 2026 7.45pm
PSG 2 - 1 Paris FC
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Ousmane Dembélé

Lille

All competitions
Last game
Jan 3, 2026 8.05pm
Lille 0 - 2 Rennes
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Igmane Hamza

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 58.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.86% and a win for Lille had a probability of 20.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%) , while for a Lille win it was 1-2 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result

Paris Saint-Germain 58.29%
Draw 20.86%
Lille 20.85% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.55% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.55% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 18.45% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 60.52% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 39.48% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 38.05% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 61.95% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 23.59% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 76.41% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Paris Saint-Germain 44.64%
Draw 37.61%
Lille 17.75%

Team To Score First

Paris Saint-Germain 61.26% (-0.02)
No Goal 4.49% (+0.01)
Lille 34.25%

Corners

Over 8 54.82%
Equal 8 11.19%
Under 8 33.98%
Over 9 43.68%
Equal 9 11.14%
Under 9 45.18%
Over 10.5 33.44%
Under 10.5 66.56%

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 1.5 58.44% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 41.56% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 31.83% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 68.17% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 14.18% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 85.82% (+0.04)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5 57.71% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 42.29% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 26.49% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 73.51% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 9.04% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 90.96% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 2.34% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.66% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 58.28%
Draw 20.86%
Lille 20.84%
Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 10.07%
1-0 @ 9.1% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.7% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.85% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.94% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.58% (-0.01)
Other @ 14.04% (-0.05)
Total : 58.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.46% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.49% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.86%
Lille
1-2 @ 5.5%
0-1 @ 4.84%
0-2 @ 2.88% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.1% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.2% (-0.01)
Total : 20.84%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Oct 5, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2025 8.05pm
4
1
HT : 4 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Bradley Barcola 6' goal
  • Marquinhos 22' goal
  • Ousmane Dembele 28' goal
  • Desire Doue 37' goal
  • yellowcard Thomas Meunier 39'
  • goal Jonathan David 80'
  • yellowcard Ismaily 90'+2'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 3
Sep 1, 2024 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Alexsandro 31' yellowcard
  • Ngal'ayel Mukau 47' yellowcard
  • Edon Zhegrova 78' goal
  • Bafode Diakite 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Beraldo 24'
  • goal Vitinha 33'
  • goal Bradley Barcola 36'
  • yellowcard Gianluigi Donnarumma 84'
  • goal Randal Kolo 90'+2'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 21
Feb 10, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Parc des Princes
  • Goncalo Ramos 10' goal
  • Alexsandro 17' goal
  • Manuel Ugarte 35' yellowcard
  • Nordi Mukiele 74' yellowcard
  • Randal Kolo 80' goal
  • goal Yusuf Yazici 6'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Andre 16'
  • yellowcard Ismaily 32'
  • yellowcard Paulo Fonseca 40'
  • yellowcard Alexsandro 52'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Bafode Diakite 66' yellowcard
  • Jonathan David 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Manuel Ugarte 18'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 66'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 24
Feb 19, 2023 12.00pm
4
3
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Kylian Mbappe 11' goal
  • Neymar 17' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 87' goal
  • Lionel Messi 90'+5' goal
  • goal Bafode Diakite 24'
  • goal Jonathan David 58'
  • goal Jonathan Bamba 69'