Ligue 1 Gameweek 18
Jan 16, 2026 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Ousmane Dembele 13' goal
  • Ousmane Dembélé 13' goal
  • Illia Zabarnyi 46' yellowcard
  • Ilya Zabarnyi 46' yellowcard
  • Bradley Barcola 63' yellowcard
  • Ousmane Dembele 64' goal
  • Ousmane Dembélé 64' goal
  • Goncalo Ramos 76' yellowcard
  • Gonçalo Ramos 76' yellowcard
  • Goncalo Ramos 77' yellowcard
  • Lucas Hernandez 84' yellowcard
  • Lucas Hernández 84' yellowcard
  • Bradley Barcola 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Osame Sahraoui 77'
  • yellowcard Soriba Diaoune 77'
  • yellowcard Marius Broholm 77'
  • yellowcard Osame Sahraoui 78'
  • yellowcard Thomas Meunier 87'
  • yellowcard Felix Correia 89'
  • yellowcard Félix Correia 89'

Paris Saint-Germain vs Lille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Last game
Jan 4, 2026 7.45pm
PSG 2 - 1 Paris FC
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Ousmane Dembélé

Lille

All competitions
Last game
Jan 3, 2026 8.05pm
Lille 0 - 2 Rennes
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Matías Fernández-Pardo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 58.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.86% and a win for Lille had a probability of 20.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%) , while for a Lille win it was 1-2 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result

Paris Saint-Germain 58.29%
Draw 20.86%
Lille 20.85% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.55% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.55% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 18.45% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 60.52% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 39.48% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 38.05% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 61.95% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 23.59% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 76.41% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Paris Saint-Germain 44.64%
Draw 37.61%
Lille 17.75%

Team To Score First

Paris Saint-Germain 61.26% (-0.02)
No Goal 4.49% (+0.01)
Lille 34.25%

Corners

Over 8 54.82%
Equal 8 11.19%
Under 8 33.98%
Over 9 43.68%
Equal 9 11.14%
Under 9 45.18%
Over 10.5 33.44%
Under 10.5 66.56%

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 1.5 58.44% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 41.56% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 31.83% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 68.17% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 14.18% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 85.82% (+0.04)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5 57.71% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 42.29% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 26.49% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 73.51% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 9.04% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 90.96% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 2.34% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.66% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 58.28%
Draw 20.86%
Lille 20.84%
Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 10.07%
1-0 @ 9.1% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.7% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.85% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.94% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.58% (-0.01)
Other @ 14.04% (-0.05)
Total : 58.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.46% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.49% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.86%
Lille
1-2 @ 5.5%
0-1 @ 4.84%
0-2 @ 2.88% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.1% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.2% (-0.01)
Total : 20.84%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Oct 5, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2025 8.05pm
4
1
HT : 4 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Bradley Barcola 6' goal
  • Marquinhos 22' goal
  • Ousmane Dembele 28' goal
  • Desire Doue 37' goal
  • yellowcard Thomas Meunier 39'
  • goal Jonathan David 80'
  • yellowcard Ismaily 90'+2'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 3
Sep 1, 2024 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Alexsandro 31' yellowcard
  • Ngal'ayel Mukau 47' yellowcard
  • Edon Zhegrova 78' goal
  • Bafode Diakite 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Beraldo 24'
  • goal Vitinha 33'
  • goal Bradley Barcola 36'
  • yellowcard Gianluigi Donnarumma 84'
  • goal Randal Kolo 90'+2'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 21
Feb 10, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Parc des Princes
  • Goncalo Ramos 10' goal
  • Alexsandro 17' goal
  • Manuel Ugarte 35' yellowcard
  • Nordi Mukiele 74' yellowcard
  • Randal Kolo 80' goal
  • goal Yusuf Yazici 6'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Andre 16'
  • yellowcard Ismaily 32'
  • yellowcard Paulo Fonseca 40'
  • yellowcard Alexsandro 52'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Bafode Diakite 66' yellowcard
  • Jonathan David 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Manuel Ugarte 18'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 66'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 24
Feb 19, 2023 12.00pm
4
3
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Kylian Mbappe 11' goal
  • Neymar 17' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 87' goal
  • Lionel Messi 90'+5' goal
  • goal Bafode Diakite 24'
  • goal Jonathan David 58'
  • goal Jonathan Bamba 69'