Club World Cup
Dec 17, 2025 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
ET
  • Fabian Ruiz 32' yellowcard
  • Fabian Ruiz 33' yellowcard
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 38' goal
  • Vitinha 44' yellowcard
  • William Pacho 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jorginho 20'
  • yellowcard Alex Sandro 24'
  • goal Jorginho 62'
  • yellowcard Erick Pulgar 64'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Plata 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Saul Niguez 96'
  • yellowcard Juninho 120'
  • yellowcard 120'

Paris Saint-Germain vs Flamengo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Flamengo

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 53.66%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 23.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 1-2 (6.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result

Paris Saint-Germain 53.66% (-43.79)
Draw 22.5% (+20.45)
Flamengo 23.83% (-26.67)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.74% (+28.84)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.04% (-29.92)
Under 2.5 40.96% (+29.91)
Over 3.5 36.65% (-39.25)
Under 3.5 63.35% (+39.25)
Over 4.5 19.51% (-39.49)
Under 4.5 80.48% (+39.48)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 84.73% (-14.47)
Under 0.5 15.27% (-65.43)
Over 1.5 56.03% (-39.27)
Under 1.5 43.96% (+39.27)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5 69.33% (+39.18)
Under 0.5 30.67% (-39.19)
Over 1.5 33.08% (+28.00)
Under 1.5 66.91% (-28.01)

Score analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 53.66%
Draw 22.5%
Flamengo 23.83%
Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 9.77% (+7.43)
1-0 @ 8.8% (+6.08)
2-0 @ 8.27% (+1.72)
3-1 @ 6.12% (+2.35)
3-0 @ 5.18% (-5.34)
3-2 @ 3.62% (-64.19)
4-1 @ 2.88% (-1.68)
4-0 @ 2.43% (-10.24)
4-2 @ 1.7% (-79.90)
5-1 @ 1.08% (-3.31)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 53.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.4% (-87.20)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-36.43)
0-0 @ 4.68% (-51.72)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-6.68)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.5%
Flamengo
1-2 @ 6.15% (-11.36)
0-1 @ 5.53% (-14.77)
0-2 @ 3.27% (-0.33)
1-3 @ 2.42% (+0.33)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-2.73)
0-3 @ 1.29% (+0.89)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 23.83%