Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 53.66%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 23.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 1-2 (6.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.