Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 65.6%. A draw had a probability of 18.98% and a win for Metz had a probability of 15.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%) , while for a Metz win it was 2-1 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 15.42% | 18.98% | 65.6% |
| Both teams to score 56.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.63% | 37.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.42% | 59.58% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.86% | 37.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.07% | 73.93% |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.35% | 10.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.5% | 34.5% |
| Score Analysis |
| Metz | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 4.35% 1-0 @ 3.92% 2-0 @ 1.94% 3-2 @ 1.61% 3-1 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.18% Total : 15.42% | 1-1 @ 8.77% 2-2 @ 4.87% 0-0 @ 3.96% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.18% Total : 18.98% | 0-2 @ 9.92% 1-2 @ 9.83% 0-1 @ 8.86% 0-3 @ 7.41% 1-3 @ 7.34% 0-4 @ 4.15% 1-4 @ 4.11% 2-3 @ 3.63% 2-4 @ 2.03% 0-5 @ 1.86% 1-5 @ 1.84% 2-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.73% Total : 65.6% |