Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 65.6%. A draw had a probability of 18.98% and a win for Metz had a probability of 15.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%) , while for a Metz win it was 2-1 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.