Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Metz had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (8.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Auxerre | Draw | Metz |
| 40.51% | 25.69% | 33.79% |
| Both teams to score 54.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.84% | 49.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.77% | 71.22% |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76% | 23.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.75% | 58.24% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.22% | 27.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.64% | 63.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Auxerre | Draw | Metz |
| 1-0 @ 9.51% 2-1 @ 8.7% 2-0 @ 6.79% 3-1 @ 4.14% 3-0 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.92% Total : 40.51% | 1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 6.66% 2-2 @ 5.57% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.54% 1-2 @ 7.81% 0-2 @ 5.47% 1-3 @ 3.33% 2-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 2.34% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.87% Total : 33.79% |