Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 48.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.99% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 25.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%) , while for a Auxerre win it was 1-0 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Auxerre | Draw | Lille |
| 25.94% | 25.99% | 48.07% |
| Both teams to score 49.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.12% | 53.88% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.66% | 75.34% |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.11% | 35.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.33% | 72.67% |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.57% | 22.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.05% | 55.95% |
| Score Analysis |
| Auxerre | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 8.25% 2-1 @ 6.32% 2-0 @ 4.23% 3-1 @ 2.16% 3-2 @ 1.61% 3-0 @ 1.44% Other @ 1.94% Total : 25.94% | 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 8.05% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.99% | 0-1 @ 12.03% 1-2 @ 9.22% 0-2 @ 8.99% 1-3 @ 4.59% 0-3 @ 4.48% 2-3 @ 2.35% 1-4 @ 1.72% 0-4 @ 1.68% Other @ 3.01% Total : 48.07% |