Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 48.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.99% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 25.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%) , while for a Auxerre win it was 1-0 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.