Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 72.91%. A draw had a probability of 17.33% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 9.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.14%) and 0-3 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.3%) , while for a Auxerre win it was 1-0 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.