Champions League Gameweek 7
Jan 20, 2026 8.00pm
Estádio José Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Dec 9, 2025 5.45pm
Bayern 3 - 1 Sporting Lisbon

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Dec 10, 2025 8.00pm
Athletic Bilbao 0 - 0 PSG

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain has a probability of 36.55% and a draw has a probability of 23.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win is 1-2 (9.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.53%).

Result

Sporting Lisbon 40.09% (+0.15)
Draw 23.32% (-0.15)
Paris Saint-Germain 36.55% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.54% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.4% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 19.6% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 58.48% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 41.52% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 34.83% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 65.17% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 21.1% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 78.9% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Sporting Lisbon 35.39% (-0.09)
Draw 34.1% (-0.04)
Paris Saint-Germain 30.51% (+0.14)

Team To Score First

Sporting Lisbon 54.06% (+0.06)
No Goal 5.12% (-0.05)
Paris Saint-Germain 40.82% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 50.81% (-0.02)
Equal 8 10.92% (-0.02)
Under 8 38.27% (+0.05)
Over 9 40.23% (-0.02)
Equal 9 10.58% (-0.02)
Under 9 49.19% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 30.75% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 69.25% (-0.02)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 1.5 42.49% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 57.51% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 19.81% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 80.19% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 7.11% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 92.89% (-0.02)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 70.15% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 29.85% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 40.91% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 59.09% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 17.51% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 82.49% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6.78% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.22% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Sporting Lisbon 40.09%
Draw 23.32%
Paris Saint-Germain 36.56%
Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 8.13% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.09% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.89% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.3% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.81% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3% (+0.03)
Other @ 6.87% (+0.04)
Total : 40.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.53% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.84% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.12% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.24% (-0.03)
Total : 23.32%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-2 @ 9.07%
0-1 @ 6.32% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.49% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.59%
2-3 @ 2.86% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.69%
Other @ 6.54% (+0.01)
Total : 36.56%