Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 60.61%. A draw has a probability of 19.85% and a win for Newcastle United has a probability of 19.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.36%) and 1-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.2%) , while for a Newcastle United win it is 1-2 (5%).