EFL Cup
Feb 4, 2026 8.00pm
Etihad Stadium

Manchester City vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last game
Jan 13, 2026 8.00pm
Newcastle 0 - 2 Man City

Newcastle United

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last game
Jan 13, 2026 8.00pm
Newcastle 0 - 2 Man City

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 60.61%. A draw has a probability of 19.85% and a win for Newcastle United has a probability of 19.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.36%) and 1-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.2%) , while for a Newcastle United win it is 1-2 (5%).

Result

Manchester City 60.61% (-1.05)
Draw 19.85% (+0.34)
Newcastle United 19.49% (+0.67)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.1% (+0.36)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.99% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 18.01% (-0.24)
Over 2.5 60.66% (+0.39)
Under 2.5 39.34% (-0.39)
Over 3.5 37.33% (+0.29)
Under 3.5 62.67% (-0.29)
Over 4.5 24.18% (+0.15)
Under 4.5 75.82% (-0.15)

First Half Winner

Manchester City 50.51% (-0.61)
Draw 31.89% (+0.02)
Newcastle United 17.6% (+0.59)

Team To Score First

Manchester City 65.65% (-0.80)
No Goal 4.38% (-0.09)
Newcastle United 29.97% (+0.90)

Corners

Over 8 59.78% (+1.21)
Equal 8 9.42% (-0.17)
Under 8 30.79% (-1.06)
Over 9 49.94% (+1.29)
Equal 9 9.84% (-0.09)
Under 9 40.22% (-1.21)
Over 10.5 40.39% (+1.28)
Under 10.5 59.61% (-1.28)

Manchester City Goals

Over 1.5 59.79% (-0.44)
Under 1.5 40.21% (+0.44)
Over 2.5 32.88% (-0.41)
Under 2.5 67.12% (+0.42)
Over 3.5 15.62% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 84.38% (+0.24)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 55.25% (+1.03)
Under 0.5 44.75% (-1.03)
Over 1.5 24.42% (+1.02)
Under 1.5 75.58% (-1.02)
Over 2.5 8.37% (+0.61)
Under 2.5 91.63% (-0.61)
Over 3.5 2.59% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 97.41% (-0.25)

Score analysis

Manchester City 60.61%
Draw 19.85%
Newcastle United 19.5%
Manchester City
2-1 @ 10.71%
2-0 @ 9.36% (-0.30)
1-0 @ 8.94% (-0.17)
3-0 @ 6.64% (-0.19)
3-1 @ 6.27% (-0.10)
3-2 @ 3.3% (+0.01)
Other @ 15.39% (-0.33)
Total : 60.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.2% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 4.99% (+0.16)
0-0 @ 4.38% (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.23% (+0.09)
Total : 19.85%
Newcastle United
1-2 @ 5% (+0.22)
0-1 @ 4.65% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.76% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.9% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 1.85% (+0.12)
Other @ 2.36% (+0.17)
Total : 19.5%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Jan 13, 2026 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Harvey Barnes 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Anthony Elanga 69' yellowcard
  • Sandro Tonali 69' yellowcard
  • Nick Woltemade 69' yellowcard
  • Kieran Trippier 87' yellowcard
  • goal Antoine Semenyo 53'
  • yellowcard Rodri 62'
  • yellowcard Tijjani Reijnders 62'
  • yellowcard Rico Lewis 62'
  • yellowcard Rayan Cherki 77'
  • yellowcard Rayan Ait-Nouri 88'
  • goal Rayan Cherki 90'+8'
Premier League
Nov 22, 2025 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 25
Feb 15, 2025 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Omar Marmoush 19' goal
  • Omar Marmoush 24' goal
  • Omar Marmoush 33' goal
  • James McAtee 84' goal
  • yellowcard Bruno Guimaraes 50'
Premier League Gameweek 6
Sep 28, 2024 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT St. James' Park
  • Fabian Schar 26' yellowcard
  • Bruno Guimaraes 32' yellowcard
  • Anthony Gordon 58' goal
  • Sandro Tonali 62' yellowcard
  • Joelinton 63' yellowcard
  • goal Josko Gvardiol 35'
  • yellowcard Ederson 56'
  • yellowcard Mateo Kovacic 60'
  • yellowcard Jack Grealish 62'
  • yellowcard Ruben Dias 90'
FA Cup
Mar 16, 2024 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Bernardo Silva 13' goal
  • Bernardo Silva 31' goal
  • yellowcard Fabian Schar 18'
  • yellowcard Jamaal Lascelles 28'
  • yellowcard Miguel Almiron 90'+3'
Premier League Gameweek 21
Jan 13, 2024 5.30pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT St. James' Park
  • Bruno Guimaraes 21' yellowcard
  • Alexander Isak 35' goal
  • Anthony Gordon 37' goal
  • goal Bernardo Silva 26'
  • yellowcard Rodri 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Bernardo Silva 55'
  • goal Kevin De Bruyne 74'
  • goal Oscar Bobb 90'+1'