Premier League Gameweek 22
Man Utd
Jan 17, 2026 12.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Old Trafford
Man City
  • Bryan Mbeumo 65' goal
  • Matheus Cunha 71' yellowcard
  • Patrick Dorgu 76' goal
  • Manuel Ugarte 81' yellowcard
  • Mason Mount 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Ayden Heaven 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rayan Cherki 46'
  • yellowcard Nico O'Reilly 46'
  • yellowcard Tijjani Reijnders 80'
  • yellowcard Rayan Aït-Nouri 80'
  • yellowcard Divine Mukasa 80'

Manchester United vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 7, 2026 8.15pm
Burnley 2 - 2 Man Utd
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Matheus Cunha

Manchester City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 7, 2026 7.30pm
Man City 1 - 1 Brighton
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Phil Foden

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Manchester United has a probability of 27.76% and a draw has a probability of 24.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.25%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Manchester United win is 1-0 (7.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.16%).

Result

Manchester United 27.76% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 24.17%
Manchester City 48.04% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.96% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.4% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 22.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 54.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 45.78% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 31.71% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 68.29% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 18.84% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 81.16% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Manchester United 27.55% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 37.23% ▼ (-0.04)
Manchester City 35.22% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Manchester United 43.84% ▲ (+0.03)
No Goal 6.24% ▼ (-0.01)
Manchester City 49.92% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 52.56% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 8 12.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 35.42% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 9 40.81% ▲ (+0.06)
Equal 9 11.75% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 47.44% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 10.5 30.26% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 69.74% ▼ (-0.04)

Manchester United Goals

Over 1.5 31.03% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 68.97% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 11.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 88.78% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.47% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.53% ▲ (+0.02)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 77.59% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 22.41% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 47.69%
Under 1.5 52.31%
Over 2.5 22.75%
Under 2.5 77.25%
Over 3.5 8.58%
Under 3.5 91.42%

Score analysis

Manchester United 27.77%
Draw 24.16%
Manchester City 48.04%
Manchester United
1-0 @ 7.08% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.88% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 27.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.16%
0-0 @ 6.24% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.33%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.16%
Manchester City
1-2 @ 9.48% ▲ (+0.04)
0-1 @ 9.25% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 7.99% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.93%
0-3 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 8.4%
Total : 48.04%

Head to Head

Premier League
Man City
Sep 14, 2025 4.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Man Utd
Premier League Gameweek 31
Man Utd
Apr 6, 2025 4.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Old Trafford
Man City
  • Diogo Dalot 67' yellowcard
  • Mason Mount 75' yellowcard
  • Leny Yoro 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ruben Dias 1'
  • yellowcard Bernardo Silva 46'
Premier League Gameweek 16
Man City
Dec 15, 2024 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Etihad Stadium
Man Utd
  • Josko Gvardiol 36' goal
  • Kyle Walker 40' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rasmus Hojlund 40'
  • goal Bruno Fernandes 88'
  • goal Amad Diallo 90'
Community Shield
Man City
Aug 10, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Wembley Stadium
Man Utd
  • Matheus Nunes 68' yellowcard
  • Bernardo Silva 85' yellowcard
  • Bernardo Silva 89' goal
  • goal Alejandro Garnacho 82'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Garnacho 85'
FA Cup
Man City
May 25, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Wembley Stadium
Man Utd
  • Jeremy Doku 87' goal
  • goal Alejandro Garnacho 30'
  • goal Kobbie Mainoo 39'
  • yellowcard Kobbie Mainoo 45'
  • yellowcard Scott McTominay 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Julian Alvarez 90'+7'
Premier League Gameweek 27
Man City
Mar 3, 2024 3.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Etihad Stadium
Man Utd
  • Phil Foden 56' goal
  • Phil Foden 80' goal
  • Erling Haaland 90'+1' goal
  • goal Marcus Rashford 8'
  • yellowcard Erik ten Hag 57'
  • yellowcard Raphael Varane 68'

Form Data

Man Utd 1 - 2 Brighton
Burnley 2 - 2 Man Utd
Leeds 1 - 1 Man Utd
Man Utd 1 - 1 Wolves
Man Utd 1 - 0 Newcastle
Aston Villa 2 - 1 Man Utd
Newcastle 0 - 2 Man City
Man City 0 - 0 Exeter
Man City 1 - 1 Brighton
Man City 1 - 1 Chelsea
Sunderland 0 - 0 Man City
Nott'm Forest 1 - 2 Man City

Build-up

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