Premier League Gameweek 23
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Etihad Stadium

Manchester City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 12.30pm
Man Utd 0 - 0 Man City
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Phil Foden

Wolverhampton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Jan 7, 2026 7.30pm
Everton 1 - 1 Wolves
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 79.62%. A draw has a probability of 14.08% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers has a probability of 6.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (11.4%) and 3-0 (11.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (5.65%) , while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it is 0-1 (2.66%).

Result

Manchester City 79.62% (-0.91)
Draw 14.08% (+0.45)
Wolverhampton Wanderers 6.26% (+0.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

38.07% (+0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.44% (-0.52)
Under 1.5 19.56% (+0.52)
Over 2.5 61.41% (-0.56)
Under 2.5 38.59% (+0.56)
Over 3.5 40.18% (-0.43)
Under 3.5 59.82% (+0.43)
Over 4.5 31.17% (-0.41)
Under 4.5 68.83% (+0.41)

First Half Winner

Manchester City 71.15% (+0.07)
Draw 21.19% (-0.01)
Wolverhampton Wanderers 7.66% (-0.05)

Team To Score First

Manchester City 79.85% (-0.34)
No Goal 5.48% (+0.27)
Wolverhampton Wanderers 14.67% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 65.96% (-0.68)
Equal 8 10.03% (+0.03)
Under 8 24.02% (+0.67)
Over 9 55.07% (-0.65)
Equal 9 10.89% (-0.04)
Under 9 34.04% (+0.68)
Over 10.5 44.18% (-0.55)
Under 10.5 55.82% (+0.55)

Manchester City Goals

Over 1.5 71.67% (-0.88)
Under 1.5 28.33% (+0.88)
Over 2.5 47.97% (-0.75)
Under 2.5 52.03% (+0.75)
Over 3.5 27.44% (-0.46)
Under 3.5 72.56% (+0.47)

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 31.63% (+0.61)
Under 0.5 68.37% (-0.61)
Over 1.5 8.96% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 91.04% (-0.26)
Over 2.5 2.19% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 97.81% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 0.55% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 99.45% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Manchester City 79.63%
Draw 14.09%
Wolverhampton Wanderers 6.26%
Manchester City
2-0 @ 12.92% (-0.23)
1-0 @ 11.4% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 11.31% (-0.25)
2-1 @ 8.04% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.32% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.4% (+0.01)
Other @ 27.24% (-0.47)
Total : 79.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.65% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 5.48% (+0.27)
2-2 @ 2.26% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 14.09%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0-1 @ 2.66% (+0.21)
1-2 @ 1.67% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.35% (+0.02)
Total : 6.26%

Head to Head

Premier League
Aug 16, 2025 5.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 35
May 2, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Kevin De Bruyne 35' goal
Premier League Gameweek 8
Oct 20, 2024 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Molineux Stadium
  • Jorgen Strand Larsen 7' goal
  • Toti Gomes 14' yellowcard
  • Nelson Semedo 20' yellowcard
  • Joao Gomes 63' yellowcard
  • Pablo Sarabia 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Josko Gvardiol 33'
  • yellowcard Savio 39'
  • goal John Stones 90'+5'
Premier League Gameweek 36
May 4, 2024 5.30pm
5
1
HT : 3 0
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Erling Haaland 12' goal
  • Erling Haaland 35' goal
  • Erling Haaland 45'+3' goal
  • Erling Haaland 54' goal
  • Julian Alvarez 85' goal
  • yellowcard Mario Lemina 41'
  • yellowcard Nelson Semedo 45'+2'
  • goal Hwang Hee-chan 53'
  • yellowcard Boubacar Traore 64'
  • yellowcard Joao Gomes 66'
Premier League Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Molineux Stadium
  • Ruben Dias 13' goal
  • Ruben Dias 13' goal
  • Hwang Hee-chan 24' yellowcard
  • Hwang Hee-chan 24' yellowcard
  • Mario Lemina 39' yellowcard
  • Mario Lemina 39' yellowcard
  • Pedro Neto 57' yellowcard
  • Pedro Neto 57' yellowcard
  • Hwang Hee-chan 66' goal
  • Hwang Hee-chan 66' goal
  • Jose Sa 82' yellowcard
  • Fabio Silva 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kyle Walker 17'
  • yellowcard Kyle Walker 17'
  • goal Julian Alvarez 58'
  • goal Julian Alvarez 58'
  • yellowcard Mateo Kovacic 59'
  • yellowcard Mateo Kovacic 59'
  • yellowcard Julian Alvarez 63'
  • yellowcard Julian Alvarez 63'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Doku 82'
Premier League Gameweek 21
Jan 22, 2023 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Erling Braut Haaland 40' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 50' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 54' goal