Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 80.02%. A draw had a probability of 13.44% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 6.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.01%) and 3-0 (10.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.81%) , while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.