Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 50.39%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.76%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 (6.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.