Premier League Gameweek 24
Feb 1, 2026 4.30pm
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Tottenham Hotspur

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Burnley 2 - 2 Spurs
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Cristian Romero

Manchester City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Man City 2 - 0 Wolves
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Phil Foden

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 50.75%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur has a probability of 27.5% and a draw has a probability of 21.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win is 2-1 (7.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.73%).

Result

Tottenham Hotspur 27.5% (+0.04)
Draw 21.79% (-0.08)
Manchester City 50.75% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.52% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.55% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 17.45% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 62.03% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 37.93% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 38.56% (+0.22)
Under 3.5 61.41% (-0.25)
Over 4.5 23.97% (+0.18)
Under 4.5 76.03% (-0.18)

First Half Winner

Tottenham Hotspur 24.98% (+0.34)
Draw 36.52% (-0.14)
Manchester City 38.5% (-0.19)

Team To Score First

Tottenham Hotspur 39.26% (-0.03)
No Goal 4.31% (+0.01)
Manchester City 56.43% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 57.14% (-0.05)
Equal 8 11.1%
Under 8 31.76% (+0.06)
Over 9 45.89% (-0.05)
Equal 9 11.25% (-0.01)
Under 9 42.86% (+0.05)
Over 10.5 35.38% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 64.62% (+0.05)

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 1.5 33.49% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 66.51% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 13.26% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 86.74% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 4.28% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.72% (-0.02)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 80.77% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 19.23% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 53.64% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 46.36% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 27.77% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 72.23% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 11.75% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 88.25% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Tottenham Hotspur 27.5%
Draw 21.79%
Manchester City 50.74%
Tottenham Hotspur
2-1 @ 7.04% (-0.08)
1-0 @ 5.65% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 3.37% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 2.84% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.67% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.87% (-0.07)
Other @ 4.06% (+0.03)
Total : 27.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.73% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.31% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.22% (-0.02)
Total : 21.79%
Manchester City
1-2 @ 9.85% (-0.09)
0-1 @ 7.52% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.42% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 5.82% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 4.71% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 3.89% (+0.03)
Other @ 11.53% (+0.12)
Total : 50.74%

Head to Head

Premier League
Aug 23, 2025 12.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 27
Feb 26, 2025 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
  • Rodrigo Bentancur 31' yellowcard
  • James Maddison 57' yellowcard
  • Pape Sarr 87' yellowcard
  • goal Erling Haaland 12'
Premier League Gameweek 12
Nov 23, 2024 5.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Rico Lewis 55' yellowcard
  • Bernardo Silva 78' yellowcard
  • Kevin De Bruyne 80' yellowcard
  • Manuel Akanji 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yves Bissouma 1'
  • goal James Maddison 13'
  • goal James Maddison 20'
  • goal Pedro Porro 52'
  • yellowcard Pape Sarr 80'
  • goal Brennan Johnson 90'+3'
EFL Cup
Oct 30, 2024 8.15pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
  • Timo Werner 5' goal
  • Pape Sarr 23' yellowcard
  • Pape Sarr 25' goal
  • Yves Bissouma 53' yellowcard
  • Archie Gray 90' yellowcard
  • goal Matheus Nunes 45'+4'
Premier League Gameweek 34
May 14, 2024 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
  • Rodrigo Bentancur 36' yellowcard
  • Pape Sarr 57' yellowcard
  • Cristian Romero 63' yellowcard
  • goal Erling Haaland 51'
  • yellowcard Mateo Kovacic 70'
  • yellowcard Phil Foden 88'
  • goal Erling Haaland 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Bernardo Silva 90'+10'
FA Cup
Jan 26, 2024 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
  • Destiny Udogie 59' yellowcard
  • Guglielmo Vicario 88' yellowcard
  • Pedro Porro 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mateo Kovacic 56'
  • yellowcard Ruben Dias 70'
  • yellowcard Pep Guardiola 75'
  • yellowcard Josko Gvardiol 84'
  • goal Nathan Ake 88'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Doku 90'+6'

Build-up

Injuries & Suspensions
Feature