Champions League Gameweek 8
Jan 28, 2026 8.00pm
Etihad Stadium

Manchester City vs Galatasaray - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 20, 2026 5.45pm
Bodo/Glimt 3 - 1 Man City

Galatasaray

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 21, 2026 5.45pm
Galatasaray 1 - 1 Atletico

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Galatasaray has a probability of 30.42% and a draw has a probability of 22.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Galatasaray win is 1-2 (7.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.15%).

Result

Manchester City 47.5% (+0.08)
Draw 22.08%
Galatasaray 30.42% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.86%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.18% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 17.82% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 60.86% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 39.14% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 38.73% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 61.27% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 24.01% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 75.99% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Manchester City 40.25%
Draw 30.78%
Galatasaray 28.97%

Team To Score First

Manchester City 57.59%
No Goal 4.13%
Galatasaray 38.28%

Corners

Over 8 54.9%
Equal 8 10.25%
Under 8 34.85%
Over 9 44.62%
Equal 9 10.28%
Under 9 45.1%
Over 10.5 35.06%
Under 10.5 64.94%

Manchester City Goals

Over 1.5 50.36% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 49.64% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 25.79% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 74.21% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 10.95% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 89.05% (-0.05)

Galatasaray Goals

Over 0.5 66.16% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 33.84% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 36.2% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 63.8% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 14.41% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 85.59% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 4.94% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.06% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Manchester City 47.5%
Draw 22.08%
Galatasaray 30.42%
Manchester City
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.88% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.82% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.26% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.23% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.79%
Other @ 10.78% (+0.05)
Total : 47.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.15%
2-2 @ 6.07%
0-0 @ 4.13%
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.08%
Galatasaray
1-2 @ 7.59% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 5.81%
0-2 @ 4.34%
1-3 @ 3.39% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.94%
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.77% (-0.03)
Total : 30.42%