Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 70.01%. A draw had a probability of 17.33% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 12.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 1-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%) , while for a Kasimpasa win it was 1-2 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.