Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 65.36%. A draw had a probability of 18.96% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 15.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.27%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%) , while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 1-0 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.