Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kocaelispor win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kocaelispor win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 (7.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.