Turkish Super Lig
Dec 14, 2025 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Serginho 50' yellowcard
  • David Datro Fofana 65' goal
  • Daniel Johnson 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Botond Balogh 22'
  • yellowcard Manuel Cafumana 35'
  • goal Bruno Petkovic 90'+3'

Fatih Karagumruk vs Kocaelispor - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Dec 7, 2025 11.30am
Genclerbirligi 3 - 0 Karagumruk
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Serginho

Kocaelispor

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Dec 7, 2025 2.00pm
Kocaelispor 0 - 0 Kasimpasa
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Serdar Dursun

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kocaelispor win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kocaelispor win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 (7.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result

Fatih Karagumruk 28.23%
Draw 25.5%
Kocaelispor 46.27%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.96%

Goals

Over 2.5 49.49%
Under 2.5 50.51%
Over 3.5 27.57%
Under 3.5 72.43%
Over 4.5 13.02%
Under 4.5 86.97%

Fatih Karagumruk Goals

Over 0.5 67.74%
Under 0.5 32.26%
Over 1.5 31.24%
Under 1.5 68.76%

Kocaelispor Goals

Over 0.5 78.18%
Under 0.5 21.82%
Over 1.5 44.96%
Under 1.5 55.04%

Score analysis

Fatih Karagumruk 28.23%
Draw 25.49%
Kocaelispor 46.27%
Fatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 7.96%
2-1 @ 6.86%
2-0 @ 4.51%
3-1 @ 2.59%
3-2 @ 1.97%
3-0 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 28.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 7.04%
2-2 @ 5.22%
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 25.49%
Kocaelispor
0-1 @ 10.71%
1-2 @ 9.23%
0-2 @ 8.16%
1-3 @ 4.68%
0-3 @ 4.14%
2-3 @ 2.65%
1-4 @ 1.78%
0-4 @ 1.58%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 46.27%