Champions League Gameweek 7
Jan 21, 2026 5.45pm
RAMS Park

Galatasaray vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Galatasaray

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Dec 9, 2025 8.00pm
Monaco 1 - 0 Galatasaray

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Dec 9, 2025 8.00pm
PSV 2 - 3 Atletico

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Galatasaray win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Atletico Madrid has a probability of 34.39% and a draw has a probability of 23.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win is 1-2 (8.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.03%).

Result

Galatasaray 42.32% (-1.34)
Draw 23.29% (+0.40)
Atletico Madrid 34.39% (+0.87)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.1% (-2.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.29% (-1.69)
Under 1.5 20.71% (+1.70)
Over 2.5 57.06% (-2.57)
Under 2.5 42.94% (+2.57)
Over 3.5 33.95% (-3.05)
Under 3.5 66.05% (+3.05)
Over 4.5 20.04% (-2.20)
Under 4.5 79.96% (+2.19)

First Half Winner

Galatasaray 34.31% (-1.50)
Draw 41.94% (+3.17)
Atletico Madrid 23.75% (-1.68)

Team To Score First

Galatasaray 51.91% (-2.15)
No Goal 5.21% (+0.46)
Atletico Madrid 42.88% (+1.68)

Corners

Over 8 52.87% (-0.31)
Equal 8 11.78% (-0.03)
Under 8 35.36% (+0.33)
Over 9 41.32% (-0.25)
Equal 9 11.55% (-0.05)
Under 9 47.13% (+0.31)
Over 10.5 30.9% (-0.18)
Under 10.5 69.1% (+0.18)

Galatasaray Goals

Over 1.5 43.77% (-2.58)
Under 1.5 56.23% (+2.58)
Over 2.5 20.15% (-2.04)
Under 2.5 79.85% (+2.04)
Over 3.5 7.43% (-1.00)
Under 3.5 92.57% (+0.99)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 69.09% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 30.91% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 37.6% (-0.80)
Under 1.5 62.4% (+0.80)
Over 2.5 15.86% (-0.77)
Under 2.5 84.14% (+0.77)
Over 3.5 5.35% (-0.65)
Under 3.5 94.65% (+0.65)

Score analysis

Galatasaray 42.33%
Draw 23.29%
Atletico Madrid 34.39%
Galatasaray
2-1 @ 8.91% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.52% (+0.50)
2-0 @ 6.21% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.50)
3-0 @ 3.68% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.34)
Other @ 7.3% (-0.92)
Total : 42.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.03% (+0.59)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.38)
0-0 @ 5.21% (+0.46)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.20)
Other @ 0.13% (-0.08)
Total : 23.29%
Atletico Madrid
1-2 @ 8.02% (+0.32)
0-1 @ 6.99% (+0.69)
0-2 @ 4.98% (+0.36)
1-3 @ 3.76% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.11)
0-3 @ 2.51% (+0.18)
Other @ 5.22% (-0.57)
Total : 34.39%

Head to Head

Champions League
Nov 25, 2015 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Antoine Griezmann 13' goal
  • Antoine Griezmann 65' goal
  • yellowcard Olcan Adin 56'
Champions League
Sep 15, 2015 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Burak Yilmaz 64' yellowcard
  • Yasin Oztekin 73' yellowcard
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 18'
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 25'
  • yellowcard Gabi 64'