Copa del Rey
Dec 17, 2025 6.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Gerardo Bonet Fernández 28' goal
  • Moha Keita 90' goal
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 16'
  • goal Giacomo Raspadori 20'
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 72'

Atletico Baleares vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Baleares

All competitions

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 56.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.93% and a win for Atletico Baleares had a probability of 19.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.94%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%) , while for a Atletico Baleares win it was 1-0 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result

Atletico Baleares 19.32% (-1.87)
Draw 23.93% (+0.02)
Atletico Madrid 56.75% (+1.86)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.84% (-2.81)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.66% (-2.30)
Under 2.5 52.34% (+2.30)
Over 3.5 25.97% (-2.02)
Under 3.5 74.03% (+2.02)
Over 4.5 11.98% (-1.32)
Under 4.5 88.02% (+1.33)

Atletico Baleares Goals

Over 0.5 58.54% (-3.31)
Under 0.5 41.46% (+3.31)
Over 1.5 22.04% (-3.05)
Under 1.5 77.96% (+3.06)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 81.72% (-0.17)
Under 0.5 18.28% (+0.17)
Over 1.5 50.66% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 49.34% (+0.28)

Score analysis

Atletico Baleares 19.32%
Draw 23.92%
Atletico Madrid 56.74%
Atletico Baleares
1-0 @ 6.67% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 4.99% (-0.50)
2-0 @ 2.94% (-0.28)
3-1 @ 1.47% (-0.30)
3-2 @ 1.25% (-0.26)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 19.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.33% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 7.58% (+0.67)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.45)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 23.92%
Atletico Madrid
0-1 @ 12.87% (+1.07)
0-2 @ 10.94% (+0.86)
1-2 @ 9.64% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 6.2% (+0.46)
1-3 @ 5.46% (-0.08)
0-4 @ 2.63% (+0.18)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.27)
1-4 @ 2.32% (-0.05)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.12)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 56.74%