Copa del Rey
Dec 17, 2025 at 6pm UK
 
Atletico Madrid logo

Atletico BalearesAtletico Baleares
2-3
AtleticoAtletico Madrid

Bonet Fernández (28'), Keita (90' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-2)
Griezmann (16', 72'), Raspadori (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Baleares

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Last Game: Atletico Baleares 2-3 Atletico
Wednesday, December 17 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
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Atletico Madrid

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Last Game: Atletico Baleares 2-3 Atletico
Wednesday, December 17 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Next Game: Girona vs. Atletico
Sunday, December 21 at 1pm in La Liga
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 56.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.93% and a win for Atletico Baleares had a probability of 19.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.94%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%) , while for a Atletico Baleares win it was 1-0 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Atletico BalearesDrawAtletico Madrid
19.32% (-1.867 -1.87)23.93% (0.010999999999999 0.01)56.75% (1.858 1.86)
Both teams to score 47.84% (-2.803 -2.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.66% (-2.296 -2.3)52.34% (2.299 2.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.97% (-2.011 -2.01)74.03% (2.013 2.01)
Atletico Baleares Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.54% (-3.307 -3.31)41.46% (3.308 3.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.04% (-3.049 -3.05)77.96% (3.052 3.05)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72% (-0.161 -0.16)18.28% (0.164 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.66% (-0.27500000000001 -0.28)49.34% (0.279 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Baleares 19.32%
    Atletico Madrid 56.74%
    Draw 23.92%
Atletico BalearesDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 6.67% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 4.99% (-0.49 -0.49)
2-0 @ 2.94% (-0.271 -0.27)
3-1 @ 1.47% (-0.296 -0.3)
3-2 @ 1.25% (-0.259 -0.26)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 19.32%
1-1 @ 11.33% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.58% (0.667 0.67)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.441 -0.44)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 23.92%
0-1 @ 12.87% (1.07 1.07)
0-2 @ 10.94% (0.86 0.86)
1-2 @ 9.64% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-3 @ 6.2% (0.456 0.46)
1-3 @ 5.46% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-4 @ 2.63% (0.18 0.18)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.263 -0.26)
1-4 @ 2.32% (-0.045 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 56.74%