Copa del Rey
Dec 17, 2025 at 6pm UK
 
Atletico Madrid logo

vs.

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Atletico Baleares 1-0 Espanyol
Thursday, December 4 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
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Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Valencia
Saturday, December 13 at 1pm in La Liga
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 56.75%. A draw has a probability of 23.93% and a win for Atletico Baleares has a probability of 19.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.94%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.33%) , while for a Atletico Baleares win it is 1-0 (6.67%).

Result
Atletico BalearesDrawAtletico Madrid
19.32% (-1.867 -1.87)23.93% (0.010999999999999 0.01)56.75% (1.858 1.86)
Both teams to score 47.84% (-2.803 -2.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.66% (-2.296 -2.3)52.34% (2.299 2.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.97% (-2.011 -2.01)74.03% (2.013 2.01)
Atletico Baleares Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.54% (-3.307 -3.31)41.46% (3.308 3.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.04% (-3.049 -3.05)77.96% (3.052 3.05)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72% (-0.161 -0.16)18.28% (0.164 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.66% (-0.27500000000001 -0.28)49.34% (0.279 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Baleares 19.32%
    Atletico Madrid 56.74%
    Draw 23.92%
Atletico BalearesDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 6.67% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 4.99% (-0.49 -0.49)
2-0 @ 2.94% (-0.271 -0.27)
3-1 @ 1.47% (-0.296 -0.3)
3-2 @ 1.25% (-0.259 -0.26)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 19.32%
1-1 @ 11.33% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.58% (0.667 0.67)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.441 -0.44)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 23.92%
0-1 @ 12.87% (1.07 1.07)
0-2 @ 10.94% (0.86 0.86)
1-2 @ 9.64% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-3 @ 6.2% (0.456 0.46)
1-3 @ 5.46% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-4 @ 2.63% (0.18 0.18)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.263 -0.26)
1-4 @ 2.32% (-0.045 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 56.74%