Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 56.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.93% and a win for Atletico Baleares had a probability of 19.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.94%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%) , while for a Atletico Baleares win it was 1-0 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.