Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 5, 2022 at 7pm UK
Estadio Municipal Coll d'en Rebassa
Atletico Baleares2 - 1Celta Vigo
We said: Atletico Baleares 0-3 Celta Vigo
The obvious gulf in class should result in an extra urgency in the home side's performance, something which may trouble their more illustrious visitors. Nevertheless, we can still only see a comfortable win for Vigo, regardless of whether they make widespread changes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 53.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Atletico Baleares had a probability of 21.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.57%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for an Atletico Baleares win it was 1-0 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Baleares | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 21.37% | 25.61% | 53.02% |
| Both teams to score 46.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
