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La Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 4, 2026 at 8pm UK
 
Atletico Madrid logo

vs.

Coverage of the La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Atletico Madrid.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Real Sociedad has a probability of 33.33% and a draw has a probability of 25.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win is 1-0 (8.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.14%).

Result
Real SociedadDrawAtletico Madrid
33.33%25.62%41.05%
Both teams to score 55.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.06%48.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.97%71.03%
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.04%27.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.41%63.59%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.37%23.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.28%57.71%
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 33.33%
    Atletico Madrid 41.05%
    Draw 25.61%
Real SociedadDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.42%
2-1 @ 7.74%
2-0 @ 5.37%
3-1 @ 3.29%
3-2 @ 2.37%
3-0 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 33.33%
1-1 @ 12.14%
0-0 @ 6.61%
2-2 @ 5.58%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.61%
0-1 @ 9.53%
1-2 @ 8.76%
0-2 @ 6.88%
1-3 @ 4.21%
0-3 @ 3.31%
2-3 @ 2.69%
1-4 @ 1.52%
0-4 @ 1.19%
2-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2%
Total : 41.05%

Head to Head
May 10, 2025 8pm
gameweek 35
Atletico
4-0
Real Sociedad
Sorloth (7', 10', 11', 30')
Oct 6, 2024 8pm
gameweek 9
Real Sociedad
1-1
Atletico
Sucic (84')
Alvarez (1')
Lenglet (55'), Galan (80'), Simeone (88')
May 25, 2024 3.15pm
gameweek 38
Real Sociedad
0-2
Atletico

Pacheco (45+2'), Mendez (57'), Ander Olasagasti (90')
Lino (9'), Mandava (90+3')
Vermeeren (41'), Koke (45'), Niguez (80'), Mandava (87')
Niguez (90+1')
Oct 8, 2023 3.15pm
gameweek 9
Atletico
2-1
Real Sociedad
Lino (22'), Griezmann (89' pen.)
Koke (48'), Galan (90+6'), Griezmann (90+6')
Oyarzabal (73')
Le Normand (15'), Traore (86'), Fernandez (87')
Aug 3, 2023 2am
Club Friendlies
Atletico
0-0
Real Sociedad
Hermoso (33')
Zubeldia (14'), Le Normand (33'), Pacheco (54+54'), Pacheco (54')