Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 50.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Girona had a probability of 24.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%) , while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Girona |
| 50.95% | 24.9% | 24.15% |
| Both teams to score 51.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.97% | 51.03% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.11% | 72.89% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.97% | 20.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.76% | 52.24% |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.1% | 35.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.33% | 72.67% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Girona |
| 1-0 @ 11.56% 2-1 @ 9.52% 2-0 @ 9.3% 3-1 @ 5.1% 3-0 @ 4.98% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 2.05% 4-0 @ 2% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.76% Total : 50.95% | 1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 7.19% 2-2 @ 4.88% Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.9% | 0-1 @ 7.37% 1-2 @ 6.07% 0-2 @ 3.77% 1-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.67% 0-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.91% Total : 24.15% |