Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 50.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Girona had a probability of 24.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%) , while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.