Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Eldense had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Eldense win was 1-0 (9.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.