Segunda Division | Gameweek 40
May 18, 2025 at 3.15pm UK
Nou Estadi Castalia
Eldense

Castellon
1 - 1
Eldense

Markanich (84')
Gil (45+4'), Jimenez (69'), Suero (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Llabres (71' pen.)
Gamez (21'), Dumic (81'), Mendez (84')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Castellon and Eldense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Castellon

All competitions
Last Game: Mirandes 3-2 Castellon
Saturday, May 10 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Eldense

All competitions
Last Game: Eldense 1-0 Malaga
Sunday, May 11 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 57.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Eldense win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
CastellonDrawEldense
57.57% (-0.321 -0.32)22.63% (0.137 0.14)19.8% (0.186 0.19)
Both teams to score 52.57% (-0.134 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.56% (-0.327 -0.33)46.43% (0.329 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.28% (-0.308 -0.31)68.71% (0.309 0.31)
Castellon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.14% (-0.22 -0.22)15.86% (0.221 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.93% (-0.408 -0.41)45.07% (0.41 0.41)
Eldense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.47% (0.0049999999999955 0)37.52% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.69% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)74.3% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Castellon 57.55%
    Eldense 19.8%
    Draw 22.63%
CastellonDrawEldense
1-0 @ 10.95% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 10.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.19% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.07% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.85% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.79% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.025 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 57.55%
1-1 @ 10.74% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.95% (0.082 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.63%
0-1 @ 5.83% (0.082 0.08)
1-2 @ 5.27% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.86% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.72% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 0.93% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 19.8%

Head to Head
Oct 6, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 8
Eldense
2-3
Castellon
Ortuno (18'), Dumic (25')
Gamez (49'), Piina (90+5')
Obinna Mamah (13', 38'), De Miguel Alameda (42')
Sanchez (90+7')