Segunda Division Gameweek 38
May 5, 2025 7.30pm
4
3
HT : 2 1
FT Nou Estadi Castalia
  • Raul Sanchez 17' goal
  • Raul Sanchez 45'+3' goal
  • Sergio Moyita 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Alejandro Crettaz 52' yellowcard
  • Alberto Jimenez 67' goal
  • Kevin Vazquez 71' goal
  • Daijiro Chirino 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ferney Otero 19'
  • goal Ferney Otero 31'
  • yellowcard Diego Sanchez 45'+5'
  • goal Ferney Otero 53'
  • goal Ferney Otero 90'+1'

Castellon vs Sporting Gijon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Castellon

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Apr 27, 2025 5.30pm
Malaga 1 - 0 Castellon
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Raul Sanchez

Sporting Gijon

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Apr 25, 2025 7.30pm
Cadiz 1 - 0 Sporting Gijon
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Ferney Otero

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Castellon would win this match.

Result

Castellon 44.94% (-0.16)
Draw 26.25% (+0.34)
Sporting Gijon 28.81% (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.99% (-1.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.76% (-1.41)
Under 2.5 53.24% (+1.41)
Over 3.5 25.2% (-1.21)
Under 3.5 74.8% (+1.21)
Over 4.5 11.49% (-0.78)
Under 4.5 88.51% (+0.78)

Castellon Goals

Over 0.5 76.39% (-0.68)
Under 0.5 23.61% (+0.68)
Over 1.5 42.32% (-0.99)
Under 1.5 57.69% (+0.99)

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 0.5 66.75% (-0.87)
Under 0.5 33.25% (+0.87)
Over 1.5 30.13% (-0.97)
Under 1.5 69.87% (+0.97)

Score analysis

Castellon 44.93%
Draw 26.25%
Sporting Gijon 28.81%
Castellon
1-0 @ 11.33% (+0.41)
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 8.18% (+0.13)
3-1 @ 4.33% (-0.13)
3-0 @ 3.94% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.13)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.08)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 44.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.47% (+0.15)
0-0 @ 7.85% (+0.43)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.17)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.25%
Sporting Gijon
0-1 @ 8.64% (+0.28)
1-2 @ 6.87% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 4.76% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.10)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.11)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 28.81%

Head to Head

Segunda Division Gameweek 9
Oct 14, 2024 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal El Molinon
  • Cesar Gelabert 19' yellowcard
  • Nacho Mendez 62' goal
  • Diego Sanchez 87' goal
  • Jonathan Dubasin 89' yellowcard
  • Ferney Otero 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jetro Willems 2'
  • goal Kenneth Obinna Mamah 21'
  • yellowcard Raul Sanchez 55'
Segunda Division Gameweek 22
Jan 24, 2021 5.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Carlos Delgado 17' yellowcard
  • David Cubillas 20' goal
  • Carles Salvador 24' yellowcard
  • Iago Indias 43' yellowcard
  • Luis Gustavo 53' goal
  • yellowcard Bogdan Milovanov 26'
  • yellowcard Pedro Diaz 73'
Segunda Division Gameweek 10
Nov 2, 2020 5.15pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Saul Garcia 33' yellowcard
  • Uros Durdevic 40' goal
  • yellowcard Adrian Lapena 68'
  • yellowcard Arturo Molina 79'
  • yellowcard Josep Sene 85'
  • redcard Arturo Molina 90'+2'