Segunda Division | Gameweek 38

May 5, 2025 at 7.30pm UK

Nou Estadi Castalia

Castellon
4 - 3
Sporting Gijon

Sanchez (17', 45+3'), Jimenez (67'), Vazquez (71' og.)
Moyita (45+6'), Alejandro Crettaz (52'), Chirino (87')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Otero (31', 53' pen., 90+1')
Otero (19'), Sanchez (45+5')

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Castellon and Sporting Gijon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Castellon

All competitions

Last Game: Malaga 1-0 Castellon
Sunday, April 27 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Sporting Gijon

All competitions

Last Game: Cadiz 1-0 Sporting Gijon
Friday, April 25 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Castellon would win this match.

Result
Castellon	Draw	Sporting Gijon
44.94% ( -0.15)	26.25% ( 0.33)	28.81% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 50.99% (

-1.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.76% (

-1.4)

53.24% (

1.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.2% (

-1.2)

74.8% (

1.21)

Castellon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.39% (

-0.68)

23.61% (

0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.32% (

-0.99)

57.69% (

0.99)

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.75% (

-0.87)

33.25% (

0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.13% (

-0.97)

69.87% (

0.97)

Score Analysis

Castellon 44.93%

Sporting Gijon 28.81%

Draw 26.25%

Castellon	Draw	Sporting Gijon
1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.77% Total : 44.93%	1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.25%	0-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.45% Total : 28.81%