Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 30%.

The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.59%) and 2-1 (7.43%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (12.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Huesca would win this match.

Result
Huesca	Draw	Sporting Gijon
38.2% ( 0.1)	30.02% ( -0.1)	31.79% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 41.76% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.6% (

0.29)

65.39% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.83% (

0.2)

84.16% (

-0.21)

Huesca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.85% (

0.22)

33.14% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.25% (

0.24)

69.75% (

-0.25)

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.46% (

0.16)

37.54% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.68% (

0.15)

74.32% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Huesca 38.2%

Sporting Gijon 31.79%

Draw 30.01%

Huesca	Draw	Sporting Gijon
1-0 @ 13.74% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.57% Total : 38.2%	1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 12.44% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.47% Total : 30.01%	0-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.74% Total : 31.79%