Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 48.77%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 24.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Racing de Santander win it was 0-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.