Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 49.49%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 24.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Racing de Santander win it was 0-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.