Segunda Division | Gameweek 27
Feb 15, 2025 at 1pm UK
Nou Estadi Castalia
Eibar logo

Castellon
2 - 0
Eibar

van den Belt (18'), Sanchez (57')
van den Belt (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Madariaga (9'), Arrillaga Elezgarai (47'), Pereira (53'), Arambarri (71')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Castellon and Eibar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Racing de Ferrol 1-3 Castellon
Saturday, February 8 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Sporting Gijon 0-0 Eibar
Saturday, February 8 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Eibar had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Eibar win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Castellon would win this match.

Result
CastellonDrawEibar
38.94% (-0.28 -0.28)27.73% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)33.33% (0.33900000000001 0.34)
Both teams to score 48.33% (0.251 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.53% (0.281 0.28)57.47% (-0.284 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.73% (0.222 0.22)78.27% (-0.22399999999999 -0.22)
Castellon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.3% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)28.71% (0.023999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.47% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)64.53% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Eibar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.79% (0.375 0.38)32.21% (-0.376 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.3% (0.423 0.42)68.7% (-0.42500000000001 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Castellon 38.94%
    Eibar 33.32%
    Draw 27.73%
CastellonDrawEibar
1-0 @ 11.54% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 8.16% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.2% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.39% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.92% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 0.94% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 38.94%
1-1 @ 13.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.25% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.62% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.73%
0-1 @ 10.47%
1-2 @ 7.41% (0.067 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.93% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.8% (0.054 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.24% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 33.32%

Head to Head
Aug 17, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 1
Eibar
1-0
Castellon
Bautista (2')
Arbilla (15'), Guruzeta (25'), Merquelanz (54'), Nolaskoain (78')

Jimenez (81')
rhs 2.0


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