Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Castellon had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Castellon win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tenerife would win this match.

Result
Tenerife	Draw	Castellon
38.47% ( 0.09)	27.65% ( 0.04)	33.88% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 48.7% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.94% (

-0.17)

57.05% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.06% (

-0.14)

77.94% (

0.13)

Tenerife Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.22% (

-0.03)

28.78% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.38% (

-0.04)

64.62% (

0.04)

Castellon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.37% (

-0.17)

31.63% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.97% (

-0.2)

68.03% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Tenerife 38.46%

Castellon 33.88%

Draw 27.65%

Tenerife	Draw	Castellon
1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.13% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.73% Total : 38.46%	1-1 @ 13.05% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.65%	0-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.88% Total : 33.88%