Segunda Division | Gameweek 20
Dec 19, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Abanca-Riazor

Deportivo
5 - 1
Castellon

Mella (36', 39'), Villares Yanez (45'), Barbero (49'), Hernandez (52' pen.)
Vazquez (77')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Aurelio (7')
Aurelio (29'), Obinna Mamah (57')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Deportivo La Coruna and Castellon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Deportivo 1-1 Zaragoza
Saturday, December 7 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Castellon 4-1 Cartagena
Saturday, December 14 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo La Coruna win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Castellon had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo La Coruna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Castellon win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Deportivo La Coruna would win this match.

Result
Deportivo La CorunaDrawCastellon
42.85% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)26.62% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)30.53% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 50.79% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.08% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)53.92% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.63% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)75.37% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Deportivo La Coruna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.07% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)24.93% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.43% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)59.56% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Castellon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.66% (0.049999999999997 0.05)32.33% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.16% (0.053999999999998 0.05)68.84% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Deportivo La Coruna 42.84%
    Castellon 30.54%
    Draw 26.61%
Deportivo La CorunaDrawCastellon
1-0 @ 11.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.78% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.6% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 42.84%
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.06% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.61%
0-1 @ 9.1% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.14% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.14% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.69% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.93% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 30.54%

How you voted: Deportivo vs Castellon

Deportivo La Coruna
92.9%
Draw
7.1%
Castellon
0.0%
14
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!