Segunda Division | Gameweek 26
Feb 8, 2025 at 1pm UK
Estadio Municipal de A Malata

Racing de Ferrol
1 - 3
Castellon

Sene (78' pen.)
Puric (10')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Naldo (4' og.), Sanchez (14'), van den Belt (78')
Zarfino (45+1'), Calatrava Torrado (45+1'), Jimenez (50')
Zarfino (58')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Racing Club de Ferrol and Castellon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing Club de Ferrol

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last Game: Levante 0-1 Racing de Ferrol
Monday, February 3 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division

Castellon

All competitions
Last Game: Castellon 0-1 Huesca
Sunday, February 2 at 1pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Racing Club de Ferrol win was 1-0 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Castellon would win this match.

Result
Racing Club de FerrolDrawCastellon
32.01% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)27.17% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)40.82% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 49.66% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.37% (0.053999999999995 0.05)55.63% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.21% (0.044 0.04)76.79% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)
Racing Club de Ferrol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.82% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)32.18% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.34% (-0.026 -0.03)68.66% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Castellon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.22% (0.075999999999993 0.08)26.78% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.94% (0.099999999999994 0.1)62.06% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Racing Club de Ferrol 32.01%
    Castellon 40.82%
    Draw 27.17%
Racing Club de FerrolDrawCastellon
1-0 @ 9.77% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.3% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.54% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.76% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.09% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.82% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 32.01%
1-1 @ 12.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.62% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.17%
0-1 @ 11.35%
1-2 @ 8.48% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.48% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.73% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.29% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.08% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 40.82%

Head to Head
Nov 27, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 13
Castellon
0-0
Racing de Ferrol
Castro (54')