Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 43%. A win for Eibar had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.48%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest Eibar win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.