Segunda Division | Gameweek 25
Feb 1, 2025 at 8pm UK
Campos de Sport de El Sardinero

Racing
2 - 1
Malaga

Carlos Arana (15', 28')
Montero (58'), Sangalli (78'), Meseguer (89'), Martin (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Lobete (6')
Molina (19'), Dioni (22'), Gabilondo (36'), Pastor (90+4')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Racing de Santander and Malaga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing de Santander

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last Game: Cordoba 1-2 Racing
Saturday, January 25 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Malaga

All competitions
Last Game: Malaga 1-2 Zaragoza
Sunday, January 26 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 49.51%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 24.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Santander would win this match.

Result
Racing de SantanderDrawMalaga
49.51% (0.065999999999995 0.07)25.77% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)24.72% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Both teams to score 49.27% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.06% (0.033000000000001 0.03)53.94% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.61% (0.027000000000001 0.03)75.39% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Racing de Santander Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.18% (0.042999999999992 0.04)21.81% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.97% (0.064 0.06)55.03% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.01% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)36.99% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.23% (-0.026 -0.03)73.77% (0.021999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Racing de Santander 49.5%
    Malaga 24.72%
    Draw 25.76%
Racing de SantanderDrawMalaga
1-0 @ 12.28%
2-0 @ 9.35% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.75% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.72% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.8% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 49.5%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.07% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.63%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 8.03% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 24.72%

Head to Head
Nov 23, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 16
Malaga
0-0
Racing
Luismi (42'), Francisco Puga Medina (48')
Sangalli (23'), Mantilla (40'), Vicente (42')
Mar 5, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 30
Malaga
0-1
Racing
Vicente (67')
Oct 1, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 8
Racing
0-0
Malaga
Feb 23, 2020 5.15pm
Gameweek 29
Malaga
2-0
Racing
Morente (29'), Lomban (39')
Adrian (70')

Toribio (80')
Aug 17, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 1
Racing
0-1
Malaga

Ortiz (41'), Bunuel (50')
Ortiz (90')
Adrian (85')
Boulahroud (40'), Adrian (86')