Segunda Division Gameweek 19
Dec 15, 2024 3.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de El Plantio
  • Miguel Atienza 68' yellowcard
  • Alex Sancris 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luismi 84'

Burgos vs Malaga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Burgos

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Dec 8, 2024 5.30pm
Burgos 1 - 0 Eldense
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Fernando Nino

Malaga

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Dec 8, 2024 3.15pm
Malaga 1 - 1 Almeria
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Dioni

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 44.42%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 26.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result

Burgos 44.42% (+0.67)
Draw 28.9% (+0.02)
Malaga 26.68% (-0.68)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.43% (-0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5 36.49% (-0.34)
Under 2.5 63.51% (+0.34)
Over 3.5 17.17% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 82.83% (+0.25)
Over 4.5 6.76% (-0.14)
Under 4.5 93.24% (+0.14)

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5 71.42% (+0.20)
Under 0.5 28.58% (-0.20)
Over 1.5 35.63% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 64.37% (-0.25)

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5 59.4% (-0.77)
Under 0.5 40.6% (+0.78)
Over 1.5 22.8% (-0.71)
Under 1.5 77.2% (+0.71)

Score analysis

Burgos 44.42%
Draw 28.9%
Malaga 26.68%
Burgos
1-0 @ 14.53% (+0.26)
2-0 @ 9.1% (+0.22)
2-1 @ 8.2% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.8% (+0.11)
3-1 @ 3.43% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.19% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.07% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 44.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.1% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 11.6% (+0.16)
2-2 @ 3.7% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 28.9%
Malaga
0-1 @ 10.45% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 5.9% (-0.15)
0-2 @ 4.71% (-0.15)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 1.11% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 26.68%

Head to Head

Segunda Division Gameweek 24
Jan 21, 2023 3.15pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio La Rosaleda
  • Lago Junior 43' goal
  • goal Alex Bermejo 63'
Segunda Division Gameweek 1
Aug 14, 2022 9.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de El Plantío
  • Juan Artola Canales 62' goal
  • Pablo Valcarce 68' yellowcard
  • Grego 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aleix Febas 71'
Segunda Division Gameweek 41
May 21, 2022 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Mathieu Peybernes 81' yellowcard
  • goal Miguel Rubio 41'
  • yellowcard Unai Elgezabal 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Raul Navarro 67'
  • yellowcard Jose Antonio Caro 90'+4'
Segunda Division Gameweek 18
Nov 27, 2021 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Pablo Valcarce 17' goal
  • Alvaro Rodriguez 25' yellowcard
  • Juan Manuel Garcia 61' goal
  • Pablo Valcarce 67' goal