Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 49.68%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 22.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Eldense win it was 0-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burgos in this match.

Result
Burgos	Draw	Eldense
49.68% ( 0.04)	27.8% ( -0.02)	22.51% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 41.73% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.41% (

0.04)

62.59% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.83% (

0.03)

82.17% (

-0.03)

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.51% (

0.04)

25.48% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.67% (

0.05)

60.32% (

-0.06)

Eldense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56% (

-0)

44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.88% (

-0)

80.12% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Burgos 49.67%

Eldense 22.51%

Draw 27.79%

Burgos	Draw	Eldense
1-0 @ 15.32% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.47% 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 2% Total : 49.67%	1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.53% ( 0) Other @ 0.47% Total : 27.79%	0-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 22.51%