Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 53.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 21.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Eldense win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.