Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 46.07%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Granada had a probability of 26.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.