Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 52.27%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 20.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Eldense win it was 0-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mirandes in this match.