Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Deportivo La Coruna had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest Deportivo La Coruna win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.