Segunda Division | Gameweek 25
Feb 1, 2025 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal El Molinon

Sporting Gijon
2 - 0
Burgos

Olaetxea (52'), Dotor (83')
Mendez (65'), Rosas (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Morante (33'), Atienza (51'), Arroyo (53'), Nino (86')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Sporting Gijon and Burgos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Granada 3-1 Sporting Gijon
Sunday, January 26 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Burgos 0-1 Deportivo
Sunday, January 19 at 1pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 49.52%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 22.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.

Result
Sporting GijonDrawBurgos
49.52% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)27.6% (0.013999999999999 0.01)22.88% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Both teams to score 42.59% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.32% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)61.68% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.5% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)81.5% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Sporting Gijon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)25.15% (0.026999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.13% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)59.87% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Burgos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.9% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)43.1% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.62% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)79.38% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Gijon 49.51%
    Burgos 22.88%
    Draw 27.6%
Sporting GijonDrawBurgos
1-0 @ 14.96% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.32%
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 4.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4% (-0.0049999999999994 -0)
3-2 @ 1.68% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.64% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 49.51%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 10.84% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.66% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 27.6%
0-1 @ 9.12% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 3.84%
1-3 @ 1.49% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.03% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 22.88%

Head to Head
Nov 10, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 14
Burgos
0-2
Sporting Gijon

Sancris (35')
Otero (39' pen.), Dubasin (78')
Maras (80')
Feb 25, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 28
Burgos
1-0
Sporting Gijon
Ojeda (29')
Atienza (57'), Elgezabal (63'), Arroyo (72'), Matos (75'), Curro (81'), Montiel (90+2')

Mendez (25'), Otero (55')
Sep 2, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 4
Sporting Gijon
2-1
Burgos
Otero (18'), Queipo (90+8')
Varane (77')
Curro (59')
Munoz (23')
Mar 19, 2023 1pm
Aug 27, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 3
Sporting Gijon
0-0
Burgos
Insua (62')
Elgezabal (20'), Grego (42')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!