Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Real Oviedo	Draw	Sporting Gijon
44.29% ( -0.65)	27.64% ( 0.11)	28.06% ( 0.54)

Both teams to score 46.54% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.26% (

-0.13)

58.74% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.73% (

-0.1)

79.27% (

0.11)

Real Oviedo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.62% (

-0.39)

26.38% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.46% (

-0.52)

61.54% (

0.53)

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.22% (

0.37)

36.78% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.43% (

0.36)

73.57% (

-0.36)

Score Analysis

Real Oviedo 44.3%

Sporting Gijon 28.06%

Draw 27.64%

Real Oviedo	Draw	Sporting Gijon
1-0 @ 12.93% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.02% Total : 44.3%	1-1 @ 12.93% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.64%	0-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.83% Total : 28.06%